Jermell Charlo vs Brian Castano 2 fight prediction, undercard, odds, start time, preview, Showtime Boxing

When Derrick James, the highly acclaimed trainer of unified junior middleweight champion Jermall Charlo, reflects on his fighter’s thrilling — but equally contested — draw against WBO champion Brian Castano last summer, one key stretch in particular comes to mind when it comes to Saturday’s rematch.

Castano (17-0-2, 12 KOs) outshot his opponent and connected on a higher punching percentage in their undisputed 154-pound title fight in San Antonio, but was forced to resist the storm of a Charlo (34-1-1, 18 KOs) rally in the championship rounds.

In the end, one judge scored it 114-114, while the other two scored it 117-111 for Charlo and 114-113 for Castano, in a fight many observers felt the Argentina native had. do enough to win.

“That’s the funny thing about it, Brian Castano was what I thought he was going to be. But he only got to be that guy because of Jermell Charlo,” James told ‘Morning Kombat’ in april. “It wasn’t how [Castano] was or was not, it was about the fight that Jermell Charlo put down and gave him. When we look at the last four rounds, [Castano] was on the run because Charlo was on the hunt.

“If we start like this, you might not see the last four rounds or the full 12 rounds. We have to start the fight differently and be a different individual. Castano is who he is. He’s a pressure fighter and if you let a guy be himself, you can’t beat him.”

Charlo, 31, has already predicted the rematch, which will take place this weekend at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. (Show time, 9 p.m. ET), will end up knocking out Castano.

Luckily for Charlo, a Houston native who is the twin brother of WBC middleweight champion Jermall Charlo, he has a history of redeeming himself in big rematches after bouncing back from a disputed decision loss to Tony Harrison in 2018 in England. stopping late in their one-year rematch. later.

The 32-year-old Castano, however, is an entirely different fighter to counter-boxer Harrison. He was able to use his combination of aggression mixed with responsible defense to take away Charlo’s jab (he only landed 53 of 287 for 18.5 percent, according to CompuBox) and steadily break inside.

Even though Castano’s production was down from previous fights due to the threat of heavy counter punches from Charlo, his pressure was enough to disarm Charlo. The result was a healthy amount of talk from the Monday morning quarterback after the fight about whether Charlo can sometimes be his own worst enemy for being too efficient and not letting go of his hands.

It’s a notion that James still disputes.

“It depends on your taste in boxing and what you really like,” James said. “What are your expectations? If your expectation is to see him come out and throw 1,000 punches, throwing just 999 isn’t going to do it. But if you go out there and watch him do what he does best in boxing and throwing power punches, versatility gives you depth.

“You don’t know if he’s a puncher or a boxer, but he can be whatever he wants to be and that’s what intrigues people because they don’t know what to expect. It gives him confidence. depth rather than shorten his career or hurt everyone’s expectations of what they thought they were going to get.

Another wrinkle in the rivalry over the past week has been Charlo’s accusations over why Castano pulled out of his originally proposed rematch in February. Charlo maintained that Castano faked the injury and never left the gym because he felt he needed more time to prepare for their second fight.

“I promise you I’m going to make him pay for everything he said and everything that happened in the first fight,” Castano said during last Thursday’s virtual press conference. “I’m going to break him and I’m going to make him suffer. And that’s all that matters. It doesn’t matter if it’s in front of one, two, three hundred or 20,000 people. What I have in view He and he alone are tied up, him and me inside the ring, that’s all.”

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Charlo remained focused on the task at hand when asked a similar question during this week’s press conference.

“Castano is the same fighter he’s been in every fight. He’s going to come back and keep coming back. I’m going to use everything I learned from that fight on Saturday night,” Charlo said Thursday. “I’m going to take advantage of the things I have that he doesn’t have. I’m going to use the skills that I’m lucky enough to have. I’m going to be stronger, faster and smarter than I did. Thank you Castano for giving me more time to prepare.

“I’m grateful for my opportunities. It’s my time and I’m focused. He’s my target and I’m going to bust him. I know what I have in the ring. I know who I am and I know where I am. . comes from.”

The winner of the fight becomes boxing’s first undisputed junior middleweight champion in the four-belt era.

Saturday night’s triple title kicks off with a showdown at junior featherweight when Kevin Gonzalez takes on Emanuel Rivera. Gonzalez, the 24-year-old Mexico native, is unbeaten so far in his career at 24-0-1 with 13 knockouts. This fight marks his American debut. Plus, one of the sport’s hottest prospects returns when Jaron “Boots” Ennis takes on Custio Clayton in an IBF welterweight title eliminator. Ennis is 28-0 with 26 knockouts. He had a sensational 2021 where he scored two finishes against Thomas Dulorme and Sergey Lipinets.

Below is the full TV fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before we get to a prediction and pick for the main event.

Fight card, odds

  • Jermell Charlo (c) -220 vs. Brian Castano (c) +180, undisputed junior middleweight titles
  • Jaron Ennis -1600 vs Custio Clayton +900, welterweight
  • Kevin Gonzalez -2200 vs. Emanuel Rivera +1800, junior featherweights

Information display

  • Date: May 14 | Location: Dignity Health Sports Park — Carson, CA
  • Start time: 9 p.m. ET (main card)
  • How to watch: Showtime (subscription required)

Prediction

Castano deserves a lot of credit for everything that went well the first time around. He visibly hurt Charlo with left hooks against the ropes in the early rounds and was able to push an aggressive pace without taking too much punishment in return thanks to his head movement and high guard.

In many ways, Castano’s penned performance last summer was flawless, which casts doubt on his ability to improve on it. Charlo, on the other hand, almost certainly can.

Hearing Charlo predict a knockout must be a good sign for those backing him as a slight betting favorite. When Charlo fights with intention, he tends to make big statements. But the reality is, especially at the elite level, Charlo is just a different fighter when he lets his hands go and uses his jab as an offensive weapon.

Charlo often falls too much in love with his quest for the perfect counter move to end the fight. Even though he caught Harrison in Round 11 of their first fight, for example, his relative inactivity had left the fight far too close on the scorecards.

Whether it’s a 12-round lack of stamina or a frustrating lack of intent, Charlo can be his own worst enemy when he doesn’t bite and let his hands go more consistently. Imagining a rematch where Charlo agrees to make Castano pay to get closer to his opponent’s real estate will, in theory, make it extremely difficult for Castano to succeed.

It will sometimes take biting on your gumshield to get there, but Charlo’s advantages in speed, power and boxing IQ are destined to be too much for Castano in the long run. And if the final third of their first meeting was any indication, it’s clear that Charlo has begun to understand the angles necessary to start doing just that.

To take: Charlie via UD12

Who wins Charlo against Castano 2 and which accessory is essential? Visit SportsLine now to see Brandon Wise’s best bets for Saturday, all from combat sports pundit CBS who crushed his 2021 boxing picks, and find out.

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